Games & Lines

Thursday
Rams (-2.5) @ Seahawks (+2.5):
O/U: 54.5

Sunday
Falcons (-3.5) vs Jets (+3.5) (London)
O/U: 45

Eagles (+3.5) @ Panthers (-3.5)
O/U: 44.5

Broncos (+2) @ Steelers (-2)
O/U: 40.5

Packers (-3) @ Bengals (+3)
O/U: 49.5

Lions (+8) @ Vikings (-8)
O/U:
49

Dolphins (+11) @ Buccaneers (-11)
O/U: 49.5

Saints (-1.5) @ Washington (+1.5)
O/U: 44.5

Titans (-4) @ Jaguars (+4)
O/U: 49.5

Patriots (-9.5) @ Texans (+9.5)
O/U: 39.5

Bears (+5.5) @ Raiders (-5.5)
O/U: 45.5

Browns (+1.5) @ Chargers (-1.5)
O/U: 48.5

Giants (+7.5) @ Cowboys (-7.5)
O/U: 49.5

49ers (+5.5) @ Cardinals (-5.5)
O/U:
49.5

Bills (+2.5) @ Chiefs (-2.5)
O/U: 57

Monday
Colts (+7) @ Ravens (-7)
O/U:
48

Key Trends:

NFL Season O/U Record: Over: 27 – Under: 37
NFL Season ATS Records: Favorites: 26 – Underdogs: 38

The Cowboys are the only team 4-0 ATS this season.
Every Rams game has gone over the total this season.
Every Patriots, Steelers, Chargers, and Broncos games have gone under the total this season.
The Giants are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
10 out of the last 12 Patriots games have gone under the total. 39.5 seems a bit low though.

In those scenarios, I tend to bet against the trend as most teams end up near a 50/50 split on spreads and totals over the course of a full season.

My Picks:

Seahawks +3 (-120)
Lions +7.5 (-115)
Texans +9 (-115)
Buccaneers -10 (-110)
Chiefs -2.5 (-110)
Patriots vs Texans UNDER 39.5 (-110)
Titans vs Jaguars UNDER 48.5 (-105)

NFL Week 4 Record: 2-3
2021 NFL Record: 15-12-1
All Time Posted NFL Record: 152-113-7

About RM

I go by LayTheHouseRM on all social media platforms. I have been a live finalist for Fanduel at their world fantasy baseball championships in 2016. I am also an established free “capper” on Twitter. I provide a ton of free gambling and fantasy sports content over all platforms.

If you would like to connect with me, or just follow me for my picks, please click the link below:
https://linktr.ee/LayTheHouseRM

Thank You!

Featured Image: Mark Hardie, CC BY 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

By RM

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